• OUTLOOK: Nws National Hur

    From Mike Powell@454:3/105 to All on Wednesday, November 13, 2024 08:54:00
    ABNT20 KNHC 131219 CCA
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    700 AM EST Wed Nov 13 2024

    Corrected to add information about High Seas Forecasts and Gale
    warnings.

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Central and Western Caribbean Sea (AL99):
    A broad area of low pressure over the central Caribbean Sea
    continues to produce a large area of showers and thunderstorms.
    Environmental conditions are conducive for development, and a
    tropical depression is likely to form within the next couple of days
    while the system moves slowly westward into the western Caribbean
    Sea. Afterward, further development is likely while the disturbance
    meanders over the western Caribbean Sea through the weekend. The
    system is expected to turn slowly northwestward by early next week.
    Interests across the western and northwestern Caribbean Sea should
    monitor the progress of this system. Regardless of development,
    heavy rains are expected over Jamaica during the next day or so. For
    more information on this system, including gale warnings, see High
    Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. An Air Force
    Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system
    later today.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

    &&
    High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
    can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
    KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

    $$
    Forecaster Kelly

    $$
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    * Origin: ILink: CCO - capitolcityonline.net (454:3/105)
  • From Mike Powell@454:3/105 to All on Tuesday, November 05, 2024 09:33:00
    ABNT20 KNHC 051151
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    700 AM EST Tue Nov 5 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
    Storm Rafael, located over the west-central Caribbean Sea.

    Southwestern Atlantic:
    An area of low pressure could develop near the northern Leeward
    Islands in a couple of days. Afterward, some slow development of
    this system is possible during the latter part of the week while it
    moves generally westward over the southwestern Atlantic.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Bucci

    $$
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    * Origin: ILink: CCO - capitolcityonline.net (454:3/105)
  • From Mike Powell@454:3/105 to All on Monday, November 11, 2024 08:53:00
    ABNT20 KNHC 111134
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    700 AM EST Mon Nov 11 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Western Caribbean Sea:
    A broad area of low pressure is expected to form over the western
    Caribbean Sea during the next couple of days. Environmental
    conditions appear conducive for some gradual development of this
    system thereafter, and a tropical depression could form late this
    week or this weekend while moving slowly westward.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Reinhart

    $$
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    * Origin: ILink: CCO - capitolcityonline.net (454:3/105)
  • From Mike Powell@454:3/105 to All on Tuesday, November 12, 2024 10:04:00
    ABNT20 KNHC 121123
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    700 AM EST Tue Nov 12 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Central and Western Caribbean Sea:
    A tropical wave over the central Caribbean Sea is producing an area
    of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental
    conditions appear conducive for development, and a tropical
    depression is likely to form by the end of the week as the system
    moves slowly westward into the western Caribbean Sea. Afterward,
    the disturbance is expected to meander over the western Caribbean
    Sea through the weekend and begin moving slowly, generally
    northwestward, by early next week. Interests across the western
    Caribbean Sea should monitor the progress of this system.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...Medium...40 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.


    $$
    Forecaster Roberts

    $$
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    * Origin: ILink: CCO - capitolcityonline.net (454:3/105)
  • From Mike Powell@454:3/105 to All on Sunday, December 01, 2024 09:45:00
    ABNT20 KNHC 302331
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    700 PM EST Sat Nov 30 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    This is the last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of
    the 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season. Routine issuance of the
    Tropical Weather Outlook will resume on May 15, 2025. During the
    off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as
    conditions warrant.

    $$
    Forecaster Beven


    $$
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    * Origin: ILink: CCO - capitolcityonline.net (454:3/105)